EVIDENCE OF POLITICAL CYCLES IN THE FEDERAL SENATE
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22478/ufpb.2318-1001.2020v8n3.50949Abstract
Objective: to analyze how political issues (first years in office versus last years in office) influence public spending on senators.
Background: Theory of Political Cycles as an element to analyze the influence of the Electoral Mandate on Public Spending.
Method: The study is characterized as descriptive, with a quantitative approach to the problem. The sample of the research with 78 senators is presented, divided into two groups: mandate one is the senators of the 2011-2018 legislature, 2/3 of the total (52), and mandate two are those of the 2015-2022 legislature, 1 / 3 of the total (26). Descriptive Analyzes, Pearson and Partial Correlations, Levene's Test and T-statistic test were performed for two independent samples (Means Test).
Results: It is observed that most of the public spending analyzed does not show a significant difference in relation to the mandate in which the senators are exercising. Although the senators who exercise the first term have a higher average of expenses, for rent and services, these two expenses are significantly higher for senators who work in the second term.
Contributions: Within the scope of theoretical implications, the study contributes to the literature on political cycles, covering public spending on Brazilian senators, specifically by analyzing the difference in spending compared to senators who are in the first or second term. From the perspective of practical implications, the research hopes to instigate the social monitoring of the application of public resources, in particular to expenditures carried out by politicians and, in particular, senators. In addition to the citizen's right, to monitor the allocation of public resources.
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